look news india
The countdown for the ‘Mahamukabale’ to be held on 294 assembly seats of West Bengal has started. Before the voting to be held on 23rd and 29th April 2026, the political temperature of the state is at its peak. Meanwhile, VoteVibe’s latest ‘Vote Tracker’ opinion poll has come out, which has been released on CNN-News18. The figures of this survey show that Mamata Banerjee can once again achieve a hat-trick of power, but the growing strength of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is raising lines of concern on the forehead of TMC.
Seat equation: TMC close to majority
According to the opinion poll, the majority figure in the 294-seat assembly is 148. In the survey, Trinamool Congress (TMC) is predicted to get 174 to 184 seats. Although this number is more than the majority, it is a decline compared to 215 seats in 2021. On the other hand, BJP can win 108 to 118 seats, further strengthening its position. This election also looks like a drought for Congress and Left parties (CPM), they are likely to get only 0 to 4 seats.
Region wise competition: Who is stronger where?
A close contest is being seen in different areas of Bengal:
Medinipur: Here BJP seems to have the upper hand, it may get 32-34 seats, while TMC may get 22-24 seats.
Presidency Area: This stronghold of TMC remains intact, where it is expected to get 75–77 seats.
Malda: Here TMC may get 31–33 seats and BJP may get 15–17 seats.
Chief Minister’s choice: ‘Didi’ still number 1
When the public was asked in the survey about the next Chief Minister, Mamata Banerjee 46.4% Remains the first choice with support. BJP’s Shubhendu Adhikari 34.9% Are in second place with. Among other faces, Mohammad Salim (5.0%) and Adhir Ranjan Choudhary (3.2%) are lagging far behind.
Biggest issues and vote bank of elections
The biggest concern for the public this time in Bengal elections Jobs and Development (35.1%) Is. After this, law and order and women’s safety (18.5%) are considered major issues.
Voting Pattern: of Muslim community 60.9% The vote seems to be going in favor of TMC.
Caste equation: Close to Scheduled Castes (SC) and Tribes (ST) 50% Voters are inclined towards BJP. Even among upper caste Hindus, BJP is ahead of TMC (35.4%) with 46.8%.
2021 vs 2026: The changing picture
In the last elections (2021), TMC had achieved a huge majority by winning 215 seats and BJP was reduced to 77 seats. But in the latest survey of VoteVibe, the big jump in BJP’s seats (gain of about 30-40 seats) and reduction in TMC’s seats indicate that this time the contest is going to be tougher and more interesting than before.