Whose government will be formed in Bihar? Close contest between NDA and Grand Alliance in exit polls

News India Live, Digital Desk: As soon as the voting for the last phase of Bihar Assembly Elections 2025 is over, now all eyes are on the results of the exit poll. Will the Nitish Kumar led NDA be successful in saving its power, or will the Mahagathbandhan led by Tejashwi Yadav win this time? The picture presented by the exit polls of various reputed agencies including Aaj Tak-Axis My India has created tremendous suspense in the politics of Bihar.

Most of the exit polls are pointing towards a hung assembly in Bihar, where no single alliance seems to be getting majority. In such a situation, election strategist Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj Party (JSP) and Asaduddin Owaisi’s AIMIM can emerge as ‘kingmakers’ as small parties.

What do the exit poll figures say?

There are a total of 243 seats in Bihar Assembly and the magic figure to form the government is 122.

• Aaj Tak-Axis My India According to the exit poll, NDA 110-120 It is expected to get seats, while the Grand Alliance 105-115 Seats can be found.
• Today’s Chanakya has also presented almost the same picture, in which the gap between the NDA and the Grand Alliance has been shown to be very less.
• In most of the exit polls, Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj Party 5-10 Seats and Owaisi’s AIMIM in Seemanchal region 4-6 Seats seem to be available. Other small parties and independents also 5-8 Can win seats.

Why is the screw stuck?

It is clear from the exit poll results that the contest has been very tough. While on one hand NDA seemed to be getting the benefit of Prime Minister Modi’s face and Nitish Kumar’s local governance, on the other hand Tejashwi Yadav tried hard to connect the youth with him on issues like employment and inflation.

Chirag Paswan’s LJP (Ram Vilas) has also made a dent in the vote bank of NDA on many seats, which can directly benefit the Grand Alliance.

Now eyes on Prashant Kishore and Owaisi

If the actual results also remain around the exit polls, then the key to forming the government in Bihar will be in the hands of Prashant Kishore and Owaisi.

• Prashant Kishore (JSP): Election strategist turned leader Prashant Kishor was in the electoral fray for the first time with his party. If they get 5 to 10 seats, it will be interesting to see whether they will go with Nitish Kumar or support Tejashwi. Prashant Kishore has worked with both Nitish and Tejashwi before.
• Asaduddin Owaisi (AIMIM): Owaisi’s party has made a big dent in the vote bank of the Grand Alliance in the Muslim dominated areas of Seemanchal. Now the question arises whether Owaisi, whose target is always BJP, will support Tejashwi Yadav to form the government or will adopt some other path.

At present, exit polls have made the political picture of Bihar very exciting. The heartbeats of the leaders have increased and now everyone is waiting for the real results. It is certain that if no one gets a clear majority, then there will be a long phase of politics of manipulation to form the government in Patna.