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News India Live, Digital Desk: Donald Trump had claimed during the elections that he would stop the war within 24 hours as soon as he came to power. But today after taking oath on 20 January 2025 14 March 2026 The situation has become even more complex.
10 main reasons why Trump could not win the war
Iran’s ‘nuclear’ stubborn stand: Iran is now in the final stages of its nuclear program. Despite pressure from Trump, Tehran feels that nuclear weapons are the only guarantee of its survival.
Israel’s ‘Total Victory’ resolution: Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu has brushed aside Trump’s peace proposals, saying Israel will not back down until Hezbollah and Hamas are completely destroyed.
Increasing interference of Russia and China: Russia and China have provided diplomatic and economic cover to Iran. Trump’s sanctions are not having that much impact, because Iran’s oil trade is now secured through Beijing.
Sanctions Failure: Trump has imposed “Maximum Pressure 2.0” on Iran, but Iran has got used to living under sanctions in the last decade.
Rift in regional alliance: Gulf countries like Saudi Arabia and UAE are now openly shying away from being a part of America’s military operations, because they fear attacks on their oil bases.
Diffusion of Missile Technology: Iran now has hypersonic missiles that can penetrate Israel’s ‘Iron Dome’. Trump has no immediate military solution to this.
Internal situation of America: The Trump administration is also facing opposition at the domestic level. The American public is against investing money in another protracted Middle-East war.
Complexity of Proxy War: War is not only between two countries. It is proving impossible for Trump to bring Yemen’s Houthis, Iraq’s militias and groups operating in Syria together to the table.
Trump’s own uncertainty: Trump sometimes threatens to bomb Iran and sometimes offers talks. Due to this contradictory message (Mixed Signals) rivals are not taking him seriously.
Strait of Hormuz: Iran has threatened to close this waterway. If Trump escalates military strikes, global oil supplies will come to a halt, causing inflation in the US to spiral out of control.