look news india
A top strategic expert and defense analyst of China has made a claim about Pakistan which has given sleepless nights to the international security system. This expert, who is considered highly respected in the strategic circles of Beijing, says that Pakistan, isolated on the global stage, completely hollow economically and going through a situation like internal civil war, can become the first country in the world to carry out a nuclear attack. The most noteworthy thing is that two big predictions made by this Chinese expert in the last few years have already been proved true literally. This is the reason why defense experts from Washington to New Delhi and Geneva are not taking this warning lightly.
Chinese expert’s prediction increased the concern of the international community
This strategist associated with a Beijing-based strategic think-tank has said in his detailed analysis that Pakistan is standing at a point from where its path of return has been closed. Generally the friendship between China and Pakistan is said to be ‘higher than the Himalayas and deeper than the sea’. In such a situation, it is considered extremely extraordinary for a well-known Chinese strategist to raise such a serious question on the nuclear intentions of his own ally country. This expert had earlier made an accurate prediction of Pakistan reaching the threshold of economic default and the emergence of new terrorist groups in South Asia. Now his third and most frightening prediction has raised the question whether Pakistan’s nuclear assets have become the biggest time bomb for global peace so far.
Explosive mix of economic poverty and political anarchy
Pakistan is today going through the worst phase in its history. The country’s economy depends on loans from the International Monetary Fund and begging from other friendly countries. Inflation is skyrocketing, the general public is on the streets and political instability is at its peak. Be it the conflict between the army and the civilian government or the imprisonment of opposition leaders, Pakistan’s administrative structure has completely collapsed. China experts believe that when a country completely fails on the internal front, its leadership raises the specter of ultra-nationalism and external threat to save its existence. In such a situation, if Pakistan gets caught in a major military crisis, then its army may take the suicidal step of pressing the nuclear button in haste out of fear of its defeat.
Deadly game of ‘full spectrum deterrence’ and tactical nuclear weapons
Pakistan’s nuclear doctrine is quite different and dangerous from other countries of the world. While India strictly follows the policy of ‘no first use’ i.e. no first nuclear attack, Pakistan has never accepted any such commitment. Pakistan has developed ‘Tasveer’ i.e. tactical nuclear weapons that can cause devastation in a small range. These short range missiles are deployed directly on the front lines of the battlefield. Strategic experts believe that in the event of a war, local commanders deployed on the front can be given freedom to use these weapons, due to which the risk of an uncontrolled nuclear war breaking out at any moment increases a hundred times. This is what has been described as the biggest threat in the Chinese report.
The biggest fear of nuclear command reaching terrorist organizations
Pakistan is not only in bad shape economically, but it has also become a hub of terrorism. Organizations like Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan and Baloch Liberation Army are continuously targeting Pakistani army and security establishments. The most terrifying fear is that if there is a major coup or internal rebellion in Pakistan, these nuclear weapons may fall into the hands of fundamentalist religious elements or extremist terrorist groups. If this happens, then these organizations will not hesitate to attack any country first without any strategic thinking or caring about the consequences. Chinese experts have termed this scenario as the most terrifying nightmare for the world.
India’s tough strategy and balance of power in South Asia
India has always been aware of this nuclear blackmail of Pakistan. India’s Army, Air Force and Navy are fully capable and ready to respond appropriately to any misadventure. India’s ‘Cold Start’ doctrine and ‘Second Strike Capability’ ensure that if Pakistan makes the mistake of firing even a single nuclear missile, India’s retaliatory strike will wipe Pakistan off the map. However, Chinese experts say that Pakistan, which is in the last stages of crisis, may ignore the fear of this retaliatory destruction, because it will have nothing left to lose.
Is it time to take over nuclear assets?
After this chilling prediction, the discussion has now intensified on the international stage whether global powers like the United Nations and America should take any strict action regarding the security of Pakistan’s nuclear assets. If Pakistan moves towards civil war or complete economic failure, ‘neutralizing’ or ‘securing’ its nuclear missiles will become the first priority for the entire world. This claim by the Chinese expert is a huge wake-up call for defense ministries around the world, which makes it clear how weak the thread of peace has become in South Asia.