look news india
A very interesting and surprising development is going on these days in American politics and global diplomacy. In 2015, when the then President Barack Obama signed the nuclear deal (JCPOA) with Iran, Donald Trump had strongly criticized it. Trump had called it the ‘worst deal in American history’ and he walked out of the agreement in 2018 during his first term. He promoted it as the biggest success of his foreign policy.
But in the year 2026 the situation has completely changed. After the recent severe military tension and conflict between America, Israel and Iran, the entire structure of the new peace agreement that the Trump administration is now trying to reach with Iran is reminiscent of the same Obama model which Trump had once described as a failure. Now the debate has intensified in the American corridors whether Trump is really making a new and stronger deal or is he trying to present the old agreement wrapped in a new packet.
What is the whole matter and why is Trump trapped?
According to recent reports, many points of the behind-the-scenes negotiations between Washington and Tehran directly correspond to the 2015 JCPOA agreement. In fact, after the recent war, both the countries had agreed to a temporary ceasefire, which is now under discussion to extend it for another 60 days.
The Trump administration wants that under this new agreement, Iran should completely stop uranium enrichment for the next 20 years and give a written guarantee of never making a nuclear bomb in the future. However, Tehran continues to reject this demand. The biggest challenge before Trump is to prove how his new effort is better than Obama’s deal, because the basic objective of both is the same – to stop Iran from making nuclear weapons.
Obama’s 2015 deal vs. Trump’s new 2026 proposal
A direct comparison of the main points and terms of both the agreements can be easily understood from the table given below:
Why has the Strait of Hormuz become the biggest issue?
Political analysts from London Metropolitan University and University of Surrey believe that the entire structure of the current talks is reminiscent of the Obama era. The only major difference between the two agreements Strait of Hormuz Is about.
Why is this path important for the global economy?
About 20 percent of the world’s total oil and energy supply passes through this narrow sea route. During the recent war, Iran had established tight military control over the region, creating the threat of rising fuel prices and inflation around the world. While Trump wants to immediately open this route to the whole world without any fee, Iran is adamant on its sovereignty and economic rights in the management of this waterway.
Trump surrounded within his own Republican Party
Regarding this new agreement, Donald Trump is facing strong opposition not only from the opposition Democratic Party but also within his own Republican Party. Radical leaders like US Senator Ted Cruz have clearly said that even under the new deal, if Iran gets relief from sanctions, billions of dollars seized are returned to it and it maintains its influence on the Strait of Hormuz, then it would be a ‘disastrous mistake’ for America. This is why there is immense political pressure on Trump to present a deal that appears to be more stringent and aggressive than Obama’s deal.
Expansion of Abraham Accords and stance of regional countries
To save his credibility and give a new color to this deal, Trump called off this negotiation. ‘Abraham Accords’ Tried to link in detail. He wrote on the social media platform ‘Truth Social’ that he has appealed to the leaders of countries like Saudi Arabia, Qatar, UAE, Bahrain, Egypt, Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan to join this peace framework.
However, the ground reality is that Trump’s proposal is not getting much support from the Middle East and Asian countries. According to reports, countries like Pakistan have rejected the idea outright. In such a situation, it will be very interesting to see how Trump balances between avoiding war and saving his political dignity in the coming days.
