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US Presidential Election 2024: The countdown to the US presidential election has started. On Tuesday, the American people will vote to elect their next President. Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump are making every possible effort to ensure their victory.
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump's efforts to win
According to media reports, polls show that Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris is leading or nearly tied with Republican former President Donald Trump in all swing states. The exception to this is Arizona, where Trump is ahead by a few points. But there are many important factors influencing voters' decisions on Election Day.
trump vs republican
Trump's popularity in national surveys has been around 43 percent. In the last two presidential elections he failed to get 50 percent of the national popular vote. As President, he never received more than 50 percent of the vote and never went above 50 percent even after leaving office.
Therefore, it can be said that Trump's popularity is limited to a certain limit. Therefore, his chances of winning the popular vote at the national level today are very slim. This was also reflected in nominations for the Republican primaries. He defeated Florida Governor Ron DeSantis, former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley and many others, but in most of these primaries, 15-20 percent of Republicans did not vote for Trump.
In such a situation, there is a possibility that many Republicans will not vote for Trump in today's election. Others will support Kamala Harris. In fact, never before had there been such an increase in support for members of one party supporting a presidential candidate from another party.
His favorability rating is about 46 percent higher than Trump's. The closer a presidential candidate gets to a 50 percent approval rating, the greater his or her chances of winning the election.
who is winning?
Trump's team seems to be winning in all the surveys. Harris' campaign also indicated over the weekend that late-deciding voters, and women in particular, were going her way by double-digit margins. The perception among Democrats is that with the campaign winding down, Harris's popularity has now peaked.
If Harris wins, it will be because she has successfully struck a deal with voters and turned the election into a referendum on Trump. Overall, after eight years the country is fed up with him.
If Trump wins, it will mean that voters trust him to control inflation and domestic cost of living, while we trust him to control uncontrolled immigration and crime (he claims). .
