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Since assuming the reins of power at the Centre, the Modi government is fully geared up to implement its most ambitious agenda ‘Women’s Reservation Bill’ to provide rights to half of the country’s population. In the last parliamentary session, due to this historic bill as well as the Delimitation Bill not getting two-thirds majority in the Lok Sabha, the government had to step back strategically. Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s lieutenants have taken this legislative setback very seriously. According to sources, to completely isolate the main opposition party Congress by passing this bill in the upcoming monsoon session, the floor managers of NDA have prepared an unprecedented and infallible maze behind the scenes.
DMK breaks oath with Congress: Political earthquake in Tamil Nadu will now bring big changes in Delhi
The most interesting and game-changing twist in this entire political arithmetic is coming from the politics of South India. After the official break of the old alliance of Congress and DMK in Tamil Nadu, Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) is continuously maintaining informal dialogue with the DMK leadership. DMK, which has a huge strength of 22 MPs in the Lok Sabha, had strongly opposed this bill in the last session, but now amid the changing political equations, the DMK can indirectly help the government on the floor of the Parliament to give a strong message to the Congress. DMK strategists have indicated that they will reveal their final strategy during the session, which could deal a major blow to the unity of the opposition camp.
SP’s eyes fixed on UP elections 2027: Politics heated up due to the terms of ‘reservation within reservation’
On the other hand, the head of Samajwadi Party (SP), who is called Chanakya of Uttar Pradesh politics, is also trying to wash his hands in this flowing Ganga. Keeping in mind the Uttar Pradesh Assembly elections to be held in the year 2027, SP has started putting its conditions before the government to tap the women vote bank. SP demands that this reservation should be implemented from the upcoming 2027 UP elections, it should be extended to Rajya Sabha also and most importantly, there should be a system of ‘reservation within reservation’ (quota within quota). Political experts believe that the immediate goal of SP is not to save opposition unity at the national level, but to strengthen the ground to form its own government in Uttar Pradesh.
Sharad Pawar’s secret knock in Shinde’s room: Buzz of new alliance from Maharashtra to Delhi
To turn the parliamentary arithmetic in its favor, NDA has also started courting Maharashtra’s most experienced politician and NCP supremo Sharad Pawar. Recently, in an unexpected development inside the Maharashtra Assembly, Sharad Pawar’s arrival with his MLAs at the official chamber of Deputy Chief Minister and Shiv Sena leader Eknath Shinde was not just a coincidence. After this secret meeting, speculations have intensified in the political circles of Delhi that Sharad Pawar’s 8 MPs may take a very shocking stand during the voting in the Lok Sabha, due to which the government will be completely defeated.
Magic data of Lok Sabha: Understand the complete mathematics of MPs who distanced themselves from voting and switched sides.
To pass this Constitution Amendment Bill in the Lok Sabha with 543 members, the magic figure of two-thirds majority i.e. 360 is required. In the last session, 298 votes were cast in favor of the government, which means it was 62 seats short of the majority. However, recently, with 20 MPs of Trinamool Congress (TMC) and 6 MPs of Shiv Sena UBT switching sides to join the government, the base figure of NDA has increased to 324. If 22 DMK MPs come together, this number will increase to 346. Apart from this, the central managers are also eyeing Sharad Pawar’s NCP (8 MPs), Jharkhand Mukti Morcha (3 MPs) and Aam Aadmi Party (3 MPs). If we get the tacit or direct support of these 14 MPs, then even without the Samajwadi Party, the government will easily cross the figure of 360 and create a new history.