Monday , December 23 2024

India's birth rate fell below 2%: worrying report of Lancet journal

Na5h4m7bs13cglvczk3ogx9fmj2svszepmnkvtg1

India has heavily controlled the population and brought the birth rate below 2 for the first time. According to a report by Lancet, India will be able to bring the birth rate down to 1.5 by 2050. This is a relief news for the world's most populous country. Only last year, India has left China behind in this matter.

India has achieved considerable control over population. According to the Lancet report, India's fertility rate was around 6.2 in 1950, which has come down to less than 2 in 2021. It is expected to decrease to 1.29 and 1.04 in the years 2050 and 2100 respectively. This has been said in a study published in the research journal 'Lancet'. These numbers are in line with global trends, where the total fertility rate (TFR) peaked at 4.8 children per woman in 1950 and declined to 2.2 children per woman in 2021.

In 2050 and 2100, these figures are projected to decline to 1.8 and 1.6 respectively. The study said that 129 million children were born worldwide in 2021. According to the study, a maximum of 9.3 crore children were born in 1950 and a maximum of 14.2 crore children were born in 2016. More than 1.6 crore and 2.2 crore children were born in India in 1950 and 2021 respectively. This number is expected to decline to 13 million in 2050. Researchers from the 'Global Burden of Disease (GBD) 2021 Fertility and Forecasting Collaborators' said that while much of the world faces challenges related to low fertility rates, many low-income countries are expected to achieve high fertility rates during the 21st century. Will have to face problems. to face

Population growth forecast in poor countries

The researchers said that high fertility rates will result in challenges in these low-income areas, especially in some countries in West and East Sub-Saharan Africa. Researchers estimate that most children will be born in the world's poorest regions. He said that from 2021 to 2100, the share of low-income countries in world births will almost double from 18 percent to 35 percent. Additionally, he said, with the impacts of climate change, many low-income countries with high fertility rates are likely to face floods, droughts and extreme heat, leading to food and water shortages as well as heat waves. . Related diseases and deaths will also increase. As populations age around the world, there will be profound impacts on geopolitics, food security, health and the environment, the researchers said.