look news india
The politics of Uttar Pradesh has always decided the path to the throne of Delhi. The assembly elections of 2017 and 2022 completely changed the political equations of the state. Now that all the political parties have started preparations for ‘Mission 2027’, the figures of the last two elections and changes on the ground are giving very shocking signs. Let us understand what changed on the ground of UP in the last few years and which 5 signs are most important for the upcoming elections.
2017 vs 2022: The journey from triangular contest to ‘bipolar’ politics
While the 2017 elections were known for the huge wave of BJP (325 seats in alliance) and multi-cornered contest, by 2022, the politics of UP has become mainly ‘bipolar’ (BJP vs SP). With BSP’s vote bank slipping, the contest became straightforward. Although BJP again formed the government with full majority by winning 255 seats, but Samajwadi Party increased its number of seats from 47 to 111, making it clear that the opposition is now in a stronger position than before.
5 game-changing signs for the mega match of 2027
Who will hold the keys to power in the upcoming assembly elections will largely depend on these five main political factors:
New addition and subtraction of castes (Social Engineering): While BJP wants to retain non-Yadav OBCs and non-Jatav Dalits in its fold, the opposition is trying hard to break into it through the ‘PDA’ (Backward, Dalit, Minority) formula.
‘Silent Voter’ Women and Youth: On the basis of government schemes (Welfare Politics), a large section of women have emerged as silent voters. On the other hand, issues like employment and paper leaks are changing the voting patterns of the youth.
Role of regional satraps: Which way the alliance of smaller regional parties like Apna Dal, Nishad Party, RLD and SubhaSP leans will decide the victory or defeat on dozens of seats in Purvanchal and Western UP.
Local vs Central Issues: Will the 2027 elections be fought on the face of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath’s ‘strict administration and law and order’ or will anti-incumbency (resentment against the ruling party) against local MLAs prevail?
BJP’s ‘Mega Plan’ on weak seats: BJP has identified 60 difficult seats where it has been weak in the last two elections. The party is already doing micro-planning to win these seats.
Political analysts believe: The 2027 UP elections will not only decide the power of a state, but it will also decide the direction of the country’s politics for the 2029 general elections.