Sunday , November 17 2024

How likely is it that a coalition government will be formed in India? How many of these four debates…

Lok Sabha Election Result 2024: In politics, when no party gets absolute majority, many possibilities increase in democracy. According to the Election Commission website, the trend so far is towards the NDA alliance getting absolute majority, but looking at the way the Indian alliance has given a tough fight, its possibilities are not ending yet. Meanwhile, Sharad Pawar has given a statement that he will check the possibilities at the center. Various speculations are going on on social media. It is being said about Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu that they can turn around anytime. However, JDU leader K.C. Tyagi has said that Nitish Kumar will remain in the NDA. But nowadays leaders tweet something else in the day and something else in the evening. So saying this Wrong It is not that this is a difficult time for the NDA. Although the Bharatiya Janata Party will try to form the government again at all costs, will it be able to do so?

1. Can NDA's prospects be eclipsed?

In the ongoing trends of Lok Sabha elections 2024, NDA seems to be getting majority. NDA led by BJP has won 292 seats. The Indian alliance also seems to be performing much better than the last election. Indi alliance has got 234 seats. The thing to note in the results is that BJP alone will not be able to cross the majority figure of 272. BJP will have to depend on allies like TDP, JDU. And if BJP forms the government with their support, then it will have to depend on their mercy.

According to the Election Commission website, the NDA alliance is leading on 292 seats. In which Telugu Desam Party is leading on 16 seats and JDU is leading on 12 seats, LJP is leading on 5 seats, JDS is leading on 2 seats, NCP is leading on 2 seats, Shiv Sena Shinde is leading on 7 seats. Obviously this will increase the importance of Telugu Desam Party and JDU. These people can bargain with NDA. Along with this, India Group also wants to deal with these people. Like 2004, many allies of NDA joined UPA.

2. What if Nitish and Chandrababu Naidu come together for Bharat Alliance?

According to the results, about 17 seats are going to those who were neither in the Indi alliance nor in the NDA till now. It is clear that the expectations will go to both sides. But what will happen if after getting the mandate, they move towards the independent alliance? With this, Nitish and Chandrababu Naidu together can get 30 seats for the NDA. According to the results so far, NDA has got 292 seats, while the Indi alliance is seen getting 234 seats. If Nitish Kumar and Chandrababu Naidu get the offer of PM or Deputy PM, then these people can also go to the Indi alliance. In this way, the number of seats of both the alliances will become 260. That is, a situation of equality is created. So at this time 17 seats will go to the account of others and they will become king makers. Obviously, some of them will go to NDA and some to the Indi alliance.

Meanwhile, Sharad Pawar is coming forward in his role. He has talked about exploring the possibilities of government at the center, it is also being said that there has been a meeting between Sharad Pawar and TDP chief N Chandrababu Naidu. But according to information received from sources, Sharad Pawar has denied any such speculation. Pawar said that there is a meeting of the Indi alliance in Delhi tomorrow, Wednesday. In which a decision will be taken on what to do next. If there is any change in the attitude of Naidu or Nitish Kumar, then NDA may face difficulty in forming the government. On the other hand, Siddharth Nath Singh, in-charge of BJP's Andhra Pradesh affairs, has formally met Chandrababu Naidu.

3. Can Akhilesh and Mamta claim the post of PM?

In UP, Samajwadi Party got 37 seats and Congress got 6 seats. BJP has won 33 seats. Whereas, in Bengal, Mamta Banerjee has got 29 seats. Thus, Akhilesh Yadav is emerging as the second most powerful leader of India. Mamta's seats make her the third most influential person, it is clear that the ambitions of Akhilesh Yadav and Mamta Banerjee will not be less. Akhilesh Yadav and Mamta can also declare themselves as contenders for the post of PM. Despite having less seats than allies in Bihar, Nitish Kumar has been the Chief Minister for many years. On the other hand, despite being the largest party in Maharashtra, Devendra Fadnavis is the Deputy CM.

4. Can anyone in NDA be as stubborn as Uddhav Thackeray?

There are infinite possibilities in politics. After fighting and winning the 2019 Maharashtra Assembly elections together, the NDA secured an absolute majority. But Uddhav Thackeray remained adamant on becoming the CM. What if something like this happens to become PM again? Uddhav Thackeray became the CM of Maharashtra by joining hands with Sharad Pawar's party NCP and Congress. Similarly, this time any party from both the alliances can stake its claim for key posts at the Centre.