Friday , December 27 2024

Brokerage house report on GDP, rates cut expected by RBI in February

FY25 real GDP growth fell to 6.3% on a year-on-year basis on UBS GDP. Policy support is required to maintain the growth rate at 6.5% on a year-on-year basis. Costs in consumption and capital expenditure will decline, while export contribution will increase. The recession was caused by weak growth in the manufacturing industry sector.

city ​​on gdp

GDP growth on city GDP fell to 7 quarter low. FY25 real GDP growth stands at 6.4% on a year-on-year basis. He further said that a decline in consumption and capital expenditure has been observed. However, the service sector will remain bullish. RBI may consider CRR cut in December. Reduction in CRR will be considered to ease liquidity pressure.

gs on gdp

Goldman Sachs expects GDP growth for CY24 to decline by 30 bps to 6.4%. He further said that the rate for FY25 has been cut by 40 bps to 6.0%.

Nomura on GDP

Nomura saw the impact of slow consumption and slow investment on GDP. The effect of slow investment is indicating recession in the economy. RBI is expected to cut rates by 100 bps in December.

JP Morgan on GDP

JPMorgan projected nominal GDP growth to slow to 8% of GDP. He further said that this is the lowest since December 2020. RBI is expected to cut rates in February.

HSBC on GDP

HSBC said GDP growth in the quarter ended September was a slower-than-expected 5.4%. He says that RBI is expected to cut rates in February. Starting before December may provide liquidity facilities.

MS on GDP

Morgan Stanley has pointed to a slowdown in capital spending and private consumption on GDP. He said market-to-market GDP for FY2015 fell to 6.3% on a year-on-year basis. The contribution of net exports is positive.