
of Bihar Legislative Council Kosi Graduates Constituency The counting of votes is going on at the counting center (Purnia District School Complex) in Purnia amidst very tight security arrangements. This time the contest in this huge and high-profile constituency consisting of 14 districts and more than 1.34 lakh graduate voters has become multi-angled and extremely interesting. BJP is betting on its current outgoing Legislative Councilor Dr. NK Yadav and has fielded him to make a hat-trick. On the other hand, with the entry of Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) candidate Dr. Nitish Kumar, Congress’s Manoj Kumar Jaiswal and Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj Party candidate Dr. Rajneesh Ranjan into the fray, the vote equations have become completely complicated. In the counting process going on in 14 rounds on 14 tables, first and second preference votes are being counted. Let us know what latest trends are emerging from the counting center and which candidate’s fate is going to be sealed.
#1 BJP’s NK Yadav’s credibility at stake, will he be able to score a hat-trick of victory?
Kosi Graduate constituency has been considered a stronghold of the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) for the last few terms. BJP candidate Dr. NK Yadav had won the last election of 2020 by defeating RJD’s Nitish Kumar by a margin of 6,901 votes. However, this time the path is not considered to be that easy for NK Yadav. Anti-incumbency and new expectations of the intellectual class in this constituency spread across 14 districts – Bhagalpur, Navgachia, Saharsa, Madhepura, Supaul, Purnia, Araria, Kishanganj, Katihar, Khagaria, Munger, Lakhisarai, Sheikhpura and Jamui are posing a big challenge to them. The NDA camp is confident that NK Yadav will be successful in saving his seat on the strength of Prime Minister Narendra Modi and Chief Minister Nitish Kumar’s governance model and the work done for the graduates.
#1 Strategy of RJD’s Nitesh Kumar and Congress’s Manoj Jaiswal
From the opposition side, Rashtriya Janata Dal (RJD) has once again made Dr. Nitesh Kumar its candidate. Nitish Kumar had given a tough fight in the last elections too and this time he is claiming to strengthen his position by vigorously raising issues like unemployment of graduates, delay in higher education and local issues. At the same time, due to the presence of Congress candidate Manoj Kumar Jaiswal from within the Grand Alliance, there is a fragmentation in the opposition votes. Despite this, RJD believes that this time along with local and caste equations, the inclination of the youth is in favor of change, due to which the results can be in their favor.
#1 Prashant Kishor’s Jan Suraj’s first big move: Whose game will Rajneesh Ranjan spoil?
Prashant Kishor’s ‘Jan Suraaj Party’, which has emerged as a new option in the politics of Bihar, has expressed confidence in Dr. Rajneesh Ranjan on the Kosi graduate seat. For the first time, Jan Suraj is trying his luck in the Legislative Council elections by fielding his candidates on all the seats. The impact of Prashant Kishore’s grassroots campaigns has been seen among the youth, professors, doctors and educated graduates. Political analysts believe that the votes being cut by Rajneesh Ranjan are directly denting the traditional vote bank of both BJP and RJD. If Jan Suraj candidate secures strong votes in the First Preference Votes, the contest may turn in either direction during the counting of Second Preference Votes.
#1 14 rounds of counting and complex mathematics of preference votes
Graduate constituency elections are completely different from general assembly or Lok Sabha elections. In this, voters have to register their choice (1, 2, 3…) on the ballot paper with a purple sketch pen. To win the election, it is mandatory for the candidate to secure the ‘quota’ of 50% + 1 of the total valid votes. A total of 14 tables have been made at the strong room and counting center located in Purnia District School campus. If no candidate achieves the quota after 14 rounds of first preference counting, the candidates with the lowest number of votes will be eliminated and their second preference votes will be distributed among the top candidates. For this reason, there are full chances that this match will drag on till late evening or late night.
#1 Three-tier security and CCTV monitoring at Purnia counting center
To maintain truthfulness and impartiality, the district administration and police administration have made strict security arrangements at the counting centre. The Divisional Commissioner and District Magistrate (District Election Officer) of Purnia are themselves monitoring the counting hall. Only agents and enumeration personnel holding valid entry cards have been allowed inside the three-tier security cordon. Live monitoring of the entire campus is being done through videography and CCTV cameras. The eyes of thousands of graduates from 14 districts of Kosi region are now fixed on the official loudspeaker of the counting center and the round-wise announcements of the Election Commission.
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