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Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) has already started laying its chessboard to win the political battle of Uttar Pradesh. A round of meetings and feedback is going on from Lucknow to 7 Lok Kalyan Marg in Delhi. The BJP high command has prepared a big masterplan to regain power in the state with full majority. This time, the party is going to field many of its powerful Legislative Council members (MLC) and ministers directly in the assembly elections, who have a strong support base and strong hold on caste equations in their respective areas.
The main objective of this step of the party is to neutralize the resentment growing at the local level (Anti-incumbency) and to bet on such faces whose victory is considered almost 100 percent guaranteed.
Political analysts believe that Members of Legislative Council (MLC) are usually very experienced, strategists and senior leaders of the organization. At present, there are many ministers of the UP government and state level officials of the party who have reached the House only through the Legislative Council. The high command believes that these leaders have a wide support base, but due to not contesting elections directly among the public, their full political influence is not able to be used at the grassroots level.
In such a situation, if these powerful Legislative Council members are directly fielded in the Assembly elections, then not only will their own seats be confirmed, but the equations of 3-4 other nearby assembly constituencies will also tilt in favor of BJP. Along with this, tickets of those present MLAs whose report cards have been bad or about whom there is public dissatisfaction, will be canceled and these experienced MLC leaders will be given a chance.
According to party sources, the high command has prepared region-wise data of all major areas of Uttar Pradesh:
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Purvanchal: In the districts of Purvanchal, where there is a mixed effect of caste based politics and muscle power politics, BJP is preparing to field some of its MLC faces who are considered experts in solving local caste equations.
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Western UP: In Western UP, which is dominated by farmers and is sensitive in terms of social equations, old and experienced MLC leaders of the organization can be made candidates from those assembly seats where the previous contest was very tough.
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Central UP and Bundelkhand: The strategy is to give tickets to ministerial level MLC leaders who are monitoring the development works in these areas from their hometowns or seats of influence.
Under this strategy, the party’s entire focus is on ensuring that the theory of ‘winning candidate’ should not be compromised under any circumstances.
Internal surveys of BJP have revealed that there is resentment among the public and local workers against the sitting MLAs on many seats. If those MLAs are given tickets again, BJP may have to suffer losses. To curb this ‘anti-incumbency’ (Local Discontent), the party has decided to play the MLC card.
When a strong MLC or minister is fielded as a new and strong face on a seat, the local resentment will automatically end and the elections will be fought on a new agenda. Along with this, the vacant Legislative Council seats can be easily used to create regional and social balance after the elections.
This mega plan of BJP has increased the concerns of the opposition camp, especially Samajwadi Party (SP), Bahujan Samaj Party (BSP) and Congress. While the opposition parties were thinking of making an issue of resentment against the sitting MLAs, this new experiment of BJP can destroy their entire strategy.
This list, which is being prepared with high-level coordination of senior organization ministers and RSS, will soon be finalized in the Central Election Committee (CEC) meeting. It is believed that this time the UP Assembly elections will not be fought only on slogans, but on the basis of micro-management and winning faces, in which BJP’s MLCs are going to play an important role.