look news india
Six phases of the Lok Sabha elections have been completed. The seventh and final phase of voting is going to take place within a few days of the counting of votes. This voting is going to prove to be a wrestling match for Haryana. Political wrestling has also started in Haryana, famous for wrestling and wrestling. The sixth phase of voting has ended here but it is very difficult to understand the political mathematics here. Haryana is considered a great state. Whichever party is in power here, the central government comes to power. At present, there is a BJP government here and there is a lot of anarchy and sabotage going on in it too. In 2019, BJP captured all the 10 seats here. This time the situation has changed. This has made it interesting to know how many seats BJP will get.
Who will benefit from the changed equations in Haryana?
Just before the Lok Sabha elections in Haryana, a big political riot has taken place here. In this, alliances were broken and the form of the government was also changed. In this political upheaval, the alliance of BJP and JJP broke. BJP removed Manohar Lal Khattar from the post of Chief Minister. Naib Singh Saini was made CM in his place. Due to this, the alliance with JJP broke. Apart from this, the relationship with Dushyant Singh Chautala also broke. Due to this, BJP planned to win the election by fielding its candidates alone on 10 Lok Sabha seats. At the same time, Congress and JJP also fielded their candidates.
There is an alliance between Aam Aadmi Party and Congress in Haryana. In such a situation, the question is whether the mandate and political support that BJP got in 2019 will be seen this time. Apart from this, people are also debating whether BJP will really benefit from the changed equations of the state or Congress will take advantage of it. This time 223 candidates including 16 women were in the fray for 10 seats in Haryana. In this, Congress had fielded independent candidates and candidates under the Bharat Gathbandhan with AAP. It remains to be seen how much this political speculation bears fruit.
Congress has worked twice as hard and it may yield results
In 2019, BJP won most of the seats. In 2019, there was a big difference in seats and vote share between BJP and Congress. If Congress wants to win more seats this time, then BJP's vote share will have to be reduced, then it can get good seats. This time Congress has created a different atmosphere by supporting the youth and the public on issues like farmers' movement, Jat movement, employment and paper distribution. With this, Congress's hard work is paying off.
According to political experts, if Congress cuts BJP's vote share by 15 percent, it will benefit greatly. Political mathematics says that if Congress breaks 5 percent of BJP's votes, BJP will get 9 seats. Anyone can get one seat. Similarly, if 10 percent vote share breaks, BJP will get 8 seats and the difference will increase by two seats. In such a situation, Congress will have to break 15 percent of BJP's votes and only if this happens, Congress can get 5 seats. Apart from this, Congress does not seem to win in any other way. Some political pundits believe that the way BJP has dominated the assembly and Lok Sabha constituency here for the last decade. It is very strong. It has made the opposition sweat. After Congress, parties like JJP and INLD can also succeed if they work hard. This time there is an atmosphere of incumbency but it remains to be seen whether it is pro or anti. If parties like JJP and INLD can get benefit from this, then it is fine, otherwise Congress is making every effort which is expected to be successful.
This time there is a tough fight on every seat
This Lok Sabha election is also looking interesting because this time BJP is facing tough competition from Congress and other opposition parties on every seat. In the last Lok Sabha, BJP contested elections only in Rohtak. While there was no significant impact on the rest of the seats. This time BJP has to face tough competition in Sirsa and Sonipat apart from Rohtak. At the same time, the condition of Congress is also similar. They believed that it was wrong to believe that people would turn against the government and turn towards Congress. Congress has had to sweat in Karnal, Gurugram and Faridabad. Apart from this, tough competition has arisen in Ambala, Hiras, Bhiwani-Mahendragarh and Kurukshetra due to your arrival. It will be interesting to see which party will win this time and which party will get heavy votes. According to political analysts, it will be difficult for BJP to make a clean sweep this time.
An attempt has been made to reach the OBC vote bank
Political experts believe that this time too, till the elections, BJP was in a strong position. The situation has changed since the change and upheaval in the state before the elections. First of all, BJP will have to change the CM. BJP has made Naib Singh Saini the new CM of Haryana. Naib Singh is a leader of the OBC class and in such a situation, BJP has tried to woo the OBC votebank before the Lok Sabha. Experts believe that this has been done to help the backward class. If we look at the figures of the last Lok Sabha, in 2019, BJP got 74 percent votes of the upper castes, while Congress had to be content with only 18 percent votes. At the same time, Congress got 33 percent Jat votes while 50 percent Jat votes went in favor of BJP.
BJP got 73 percent votes from OBC community while Congress got only 22 percent votes. Congress got 28 percent SC votes while BJP got 58 percent SC votes. There were only Muslim votes in which Congress got 86 percent and BJP got 16 percent votes. This time apart from caste equations, people were also angry about the farmers' movement and Agniveer Yojana. This anger among the people and the problem of unemployment among youth and women can have a direct impact on the results.
BJP was strong in the last two Lok Sabhas
Out of the 10 Lok Sabha seats in Haryana, in the last two Lok Sabha elections, it was seen that only one seat had a favorable result. Talking about the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, there is an anti-incumbency wave here. When the voting took place and the results came, the whole situation changed. In the 2014 Lok Sabha elections, BJP had won 7 out of 10 seats. Apart from this, INLD got two seats. Apart from this, INLD won two seats.
Congress won only one seat. BJP's vote share was 35 percent while Congress got 23 percent by winning one seat and INLD got 24 percent vote share by winning two seats. At that time everything was slipping out of Congress's hands. Before this, if we talk about 2009 Lok Sabha, Congress was in power. In 2009, Congress won 9 seats. Apart from this, one seat went to Haryana Janhit Congress. In 2009, BJP did not get a single seat. There was no meeting from INLD's side either. In 2009, Congress got 42 percent votes. BJP got 12 percent vote share while INLD got 16 percent vote share but did not get any seat.
