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New Delhi: Monsoon is likely to be normal in India this year. According to Skymet, a private weather forecasting agency, there will be monsoon rains for four months from June to September in the year 2024, in which there is a 102 percent chance of rain.
Skymet, in its report released on Tuesday, gave good news for India's agriculture sector and said that this time the monsoon will not be as irregular as last year. 868.6 mm rainfall is expected from June to September. On a monthly basis, the monsoon rainfall in the first month of June will be around 95 percent. Whereas in July it will be 105 percent, in August it will be 98 percent and in September it will be 110 percent.
While forecasting the weather, the private agency said that very good rains are expected in the southern, western and north-western parts of the country. Western and central parts of the country will receive above normal rainfall while Northeast India and eastern parts will receive below normal rainfall.
Major monsoon areas like Maharashtra and Madhya Pradesh will receive heavy rainfall. However, eastern states like Bihar, Jharkhand, Odisha and Bengal are likely to receive relatively less rainfall during the rainy monsoon months. Whereas the Northeast is likely to receive below normal rainfall during mid-monsoon. While Kerala, Konkan, Karnataka and Goa will receive above normal rainfall, Central India will receive normal rainfall.
Extension of monsoon in La Nina years
Skymet Managing Director Jatin Singh said half of India's agricultural area is irrigated and is completely dependent on monsoon rains for a good harvest. A good monsoon also ensures replenishment of the country's reservoirs, which are used up. He said that El Nino is gradually being replaced by stronger La Nina. The monsoon circulation becomes stronger during La Niña years.
March temperatures are the hottest everMarch 2024 is set to be the hottest month on record due to the combined effects of El Nino and global warming caused by pollution. The EU Meteorological Agency said that record temperatures have been recorded for ten consecutive months from June last year to March this year.
According to the Copernicus Climate Change Agency (C3S), the average temperature in March this year was 14.14 degrees Celsius, which is 1.68 degrees Celsius higher than before the beginning of the industrial era i.e. 1850-1900. The average temperature in March increased by 0.73 °C between 1991–2020. Whereas in 2016 the average temperature of March was 0.10 degrees Celsius above normal.
