Monday , December 23 2024

Analysis: Low voting in these states in the third phase increases concern, you will not believe after knowing the condition of Gujarat

The third phase of voting for the Lok Sabha elections 2024 ended today. With voting on a total of 93 seats in 10 states and union territories, voting has now ended on a total of 283 seats in the country. Whereas one seat of Surat has been declared unopposed which has gone to BJP's account. Voting was held on 102 seats in the first phase and 87 seats in the second phase. After voting has ended on more than half of these seats, now political pundits are reviewing what is the mood of the country? If we look at the figures so far, like the first two phases, the voting percentage has decreased in the third phase also.

Highest decline in vote percentage
According to the provisional data released by the Election Commission, the average voting percentage in the seats where voting took place in the third phase is estimated to be 61.45 percent. Dadra and Nagar Haveli saw the highest decline of 11 percent. Whereas the percentage has also decreased in Maharashtra and Assam. According to the currently available information, there has been a decrease of about 7 percent votes in Gujarat.

Third phase voting percentage
State/Union Territory Number of seats 2019 third phase 2024 Phase III (Provisional) Amendment (Provisional)
all over India 93 66.9 61.45 -5.45
Assam 4/14 85.2 75.26 -9.94
Bihar 5/40 61.3 56.55 -4.75
Chattisgarh 7/11 70.9 66.99 -3.91
Dadra Nagar Haveli and Daman Division 2 77.1 65.23 -11.87
Goa 2 75.1 74.27 -0.83
Gujarat 25/26 64.5 56.76 -7.74
Karnataka 14/26 68.7 67.76 -0.94
Madhya Pradesh 9/29 66.7 63.09 -3.61
Maharashtra 11/48 63.9 54.77 -9.13
Uttar Pradesh 10/80 60 57.34 -2.66
West Bengal 4/42 81.7 73.93 -7.77

There is expected to be a slight improvement in the vote percentage in UP, Bihar and Karnataka over the previous phases. According to the provisional data, it is around 4 percent in UP, around 5 percent in Bihar and around 2.5 percent in Karnataka. It is expected that when the final data comes, the percentage of votes may remain around the same as in the last election.

Lack of enthusiasm among voters?
This could be a matter of concern for the BJP as it has seen a steady increase in vote percentage since the rise of the Modi era in national politics. The vote percentage was good in 2014 and 2019. More than 80 percent of the seats for which elections were held in the third phase were held by BJP. However, there has been a decline in votes. Especially in those states and seats where BJP had managed to win by a large margin in the last elections.

What is the reason for low turnout in the first two phases?
Where it was claimed regarding the voting percentage that the scorching heat also affected the voters and people did not come out of their homes. However, before this phase of elections, it rained in some eastern states and the weather remained good. The northeastern states have received good rainfall in the last 2 days, although the voting percentage has declined significantly in Assam. People in Bihar have also got relief from the heat.

What is the impact of decline in voting percentage?
Regarding increase or decrease in voting percentage, experts believe that a slight increase or decrease in voting percentage in elections does not have much impact on the election results, but in 5 out of the last 12 elections, a decrease in voting percentage has been seen. . Voting percentage. The government has changed 4 times due to low voting percentage. Once the ruling party is back. Voting percentage declined in the 1980 elections and the Janata Party government fell from power. Congress government was formed in place of Janata Party. When in 1989 once again the vote percentage fell and the Congress government was defeated. Government was formed at the center under the leadership of Vishwanath Pratap Singh. In 1991, he once again lost the elections and Congress returned to the Centre. Voting percentage dropped in 1999 but there was no change in power. In 2004, elections once again fell and the opposition forces got the advantage.

huge cuts in gujarat
In this phase of elections, everyone's eyes were on 25 seats of Gujarat. Voting took place today on both the seats in Goa also. Goa and Gujarat were also in the news because for the first time Aam Aadmi Party and Congress are in the fray in alliance. AAP has been continuously winning votes in Goa since its inception. However, this time he has announced to support Congress. It will be interesting to see what impact the reduction in vote percentage in these two states will have on the election results.