Bangladesh Election Survey Who will become Prime Minister? Tariq Rehman’s return or anti-India group will win, survey surprised

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News India Live, Digital Desk: Bangladesh is at its biggest electoral turning point after Sheikh Hasina’s removal from power. 12 February 2026 A big opinion poll (EASD survey) that came before the elections on 27th has made it clear which way the public is inclined. where tariq rehman’s party BNP While it has emerged as the main contender, major revelations have also been made on the status of ‘anti-India’ fundamentalist groups.

Survey results: Who is in the lead?

According to the latest survey released in Dhaka, the key to power in Bangladesh this time Bangladesh Nationalist Party (BNP) It seems to be in the hands of:

BNP dominance: In the survey, 66.3% voters have declared BNP as their first choice. It is estimated that the BNP led alliance will be out of 300 208 seats can win.

Choice of women voters: Interestingly, 71.1% women voters supported Tariq Rehman’s party.

Regional hold: BNP is getting more than 75% support in areas like Chattogram and Sylhet.

What is the condition of ‘anti-India’ groups and fundamentalists?

The survey has also clarified the situation regarding fundamentalist and anti-India groups, which were the biggest matter of concern for India in the elections:

Jamaat-e-Islami’s position: The anti-India faction led by Shafiqur Rahman and the Jamaat-led 11-party alliance were only 46 seats Expected to meet. However, in areas like Barishal and Khulna their condition is better (about 18%) compared to other areas.

Awami League out: Due to the ban on Sheikh Hasina’s party Awami League, it is out of this election, which is directly benefiting the opposition parties.

Will the equations change for India?

‘Anti-India’ rhetoric has been intense ahead of the elections, but survey data shows that mainstream voters (especially youth and women) are preferring political stability over radicalism. India is hoping to ‘reset’ bilateral relations with the new government, although the election performance of Jamaat and other radical forces will be a key concern for India’s security concerns.